Welcome to spoooooooky season! Wait, it’s been spooky season for a while? I haven’t noticed because my betting record has been spookier than even the creepiest ghouls, goblins, and Jets fans. But last week I went 10-6! Finally, winning has returned to this column. The climb back to .500 continues into November!
Houston -0.5 at NY Jets
Fading the Jets has been a key point in my turnaround, so we are not stopping now, even though the line is BEGGING me to take Jets. I refuse despite the injuries to Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs for Houston. The Texans proved two weeks ago at Green Bay that they could cover the spread without much of passing game. In that one, they lost to the Packers in the final seconds with just 86 passing yards from C.J. Stroud.
Dallas +2.5 at Atlanta
A Cowboys loss would drop them to 3-5, and they have been way too consistent over the past few years to have that kind of record. If the Dallas offense performs the way it did during its wild comeback attempt at San Francisco, they could win by a couple of scores. If not, I like the points in a game that could come down to the wire.
Miami +6.5 at Buffalo
It has been unseasonably warm in the Northeast lately, so the Dolphins shouldn’t be too chilly in Buffalo. Tua Tagovailoa’s first game back from his concussion was a disaster, but not because of the offense. Miami should score enough to cover.
Las Vegas +7.5 at Cincinnati
We will keep the road dog train going (the Houston line has shifted) with the Raiders. They have covered big lines for me against Baltimore and Kansas City this season.
LA Chargers -2.5 at Cleveland
Jameis Winston and Cedric Tillman have formed a connection that gave the Cleveland offense a huge lift in their upset win over the Ravens last week. It is tempting to ride that momentum, but I think the Browns come back to Earth for a week, even if the quarterback change is good for the long run.
New England +3.5 at Tennessee
Speaking of quarterback changes, the New England offense has been decent since Drake Maye took over. He is now in concussion protocol, but I like the Patriots even if he’s out. They have shown more life than Tennessee lately.
Denver at Baltimore -8.5
Denver is has won five of six and Baltimore is coming off of a brutal loss. The Broncos’ schedule has been super soft, though. Ravens get back on track with a dominant win.
Washington at NY Giants +3.5
Apart from the Philadelphia disaster, the Giants have played up to their competition and have made their games competitive. They also should have beaten Washington in Week 2 if not for their kicker situation. Jayden Daniels is electric, but he didn’t find the end zone last week until the Hail Mary, and he didn’t find it at all in these teams’ first meeting.
New Orleans at Carolina +6.5
This is like Trump supporters vs. the island of Puerto Rico. Just take the points.
Jacksonville at Philadelphia -7.5
I have to admit that the Eagles are a wagon. It really sucks, but I will not let it cost me any more picks.
Chicago at Arizona -1.5
These feisty Cardinals are just finding ways to win! Kyler Murray has exciting young weapons to throw to, and the schedule is manageable. Arizona could end up as a division champ.
Detroit at Green Bay +4.5
Jordan Love is trending towards playing, and this could be an amazing shootout that comes down to the final drive. Four points is very generous even though the Lions are a juggernaut.
LA Rams +1.5 at Seattle
The Atlanta win looks like a blip on the radar for the Hawks, as they have not been able to slow down anybody else. The Rams should score plenty with Matthew Stafford coming off a four-touchdown performance.
Indianapolis +6.5 at Minnesota
Joe Flacco is back in command, and that means that the Indianapolis offense is great again. Colts should be able to at least cover in Minnesota.
Tampa Bay at Kansas City -8.5
I was finally right in fading the Chiefs last week, so now I can start riding them. That spread looks very big, but I take it as a challenge.
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