I went 8-8 in Week 4 to maintain my .500 record, but would you look at that? I’m not alone in last place anymore! Thanks to my brilliant island picks of the Saints, Giants, and HOW BOUT DEM COWBOYS, I made up ground on everyone except Abe, who I’m pretty sure is telepathically linked to Stu Feiner. Unfortunately, I also went to an island for the Bengals, and they were embarrassed for the second straight week.
It might be impossible to catch up to The Source, but we’ve got Tank in our sights for Week 5!
49ers at Rams -5.5
I thought this would be a bounce-back season for the 49ers, but I’m backing off of them a little after that loss to Jacksonville. It also makes sense to pick against them because Brock Purdy, Ricky Pearsall, and Jauan Jennings are all missing this one due to injury. Who is Mac Jones going to throw the ball to? Probably Los Angeles defensive backs. Ram It!
Vikings at Browns (London) +3.5
I’m just calling all of the international games London games because if you’re not in the stadium, do you really care where this game is being played? Ireland, Munich, and even Brazil are all London to me. The Browns have been blown out in two tough road games (the Ravens are still a tough road game even though they are 1-3) while playing better at home. I’m hoping that London feels more like home than a neutral site even though the Vikings have been hanging out over there since their comeback against Pittsburgh fell short.
Raiders at Colts -6.5
The Colts might not be undefeated anymore after they let last week’s game at Los Angeles get away, but that defeat didn’t shake the feeling that Indianapolis is a playoff contender. Just think of how hyped we’d be for this team if Ha Shem Mitchell didn’t celebrate too early on his way to the end zone. The Raiders, meanwhile, can’t decide if they are incompetent or merely mediocre. Either way I think they could get smashed by the Colts on Sunday.
Giants +1.5 at Saints
This is a chalky homer underdog pick after the Giants shocked the Chargers last week. The Saints were competitive in two home games before getting blasted on the road at Seattle and Buffalo. Still, New Orleans is 0-4 while Jaxson Dart has shown that he can close out a game against a decent opponent. Give me Big Blue in a sweat.
Cowboys -2.5 at Jets
Dallas has scored 80 points in its two home games and just 34 points in its two road games. It’s not hard to imagine Justin Fields making a couple of big plays and leading the Jets to an upset win, but I like that the Cowboys are playing on artificial turf against a defense that has allowed at least 27 points in every game.
Broncos at Eagles -4.5
I’m done picking against the Eagles. Maybe they will finally lose if I pick them. If the Rams couldn’t cover against them with a 19-point lead, who can?
Dolphins +1.5 at Panthers
It’s scary because Carolina’s 30-0 demolition of Atlanta came in the Panthers’ only home game. Both of these teams have been lousy on the road, but Miami has looked a lot better since its Week 1 clunker. Carolina SHOULD be able to handle the Dolphins, but I’m rolling with the theory that Tyreek Hill was a clubhouse cancer.
Texans at Ravens -3.5
I don’t think the Ravens stink. Their schedule has just been brutal. They blew out Cleveland and may do the same to Houston.
Titans +7.5 at Cardinals
Every Arizona game has been a one-score game. Tennessee has lost by multiple scores for three straight weeks. Something has to give and I don’t think Arizona is capable of blowing anyone out.
Buccaneers +3.5 at Seattle
Seattle has looked solid since its opening loss to San Francisco, but the Buccaneers are a step up in competition. Tampa Bay is in a close game every week, so getting a field goal plus the hook feels good.
Lions -10.5 at Bengals
This is chalk. The Lions have been a total juggernaut for three straight weeks, so don’t overthink it.
Washington at Chargers -2.5
Remember, the Giants needed two interceptions returned inside the five yard line to score 21 points on the Bolts. I’m more concerned with the offense, but it should get right at home against a unit that was just shredded by Michael Penix Jr.
Patriots +7.5 at Bills
Laying a huge amount of points in the last three weeks, Buffalo is 1-2 against the spread. Drake Maye has looked like a franchise quarterback for the Patriots, and they are frisky enough to hang around with the Bills.
Chiefs at Jaguars +3.5
The Chiefs look like they are all the way back after stomping Baltimore and the Jaguars are 3-1 against mediocre competition. This feels like a game that makes money for the books with everyone in the public taking Kansas City.
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