Aaron’s Week 11 NFL Picks

Week 11 was looking not so terrible for me, but then I was burned by Detroit and the Rams in prime time. The Lions did not show up for the first half and I still only lost on the hook, while the Rams were unable to ram the ball into the end zone against Miami’s defense. My overall mark is now 72-79-1. That is not good, but it is still close enough to .500 that I can talk myself into getting there by chipping away for the rest of the season.

I actually hate the Washington pick, but I need Jayden Daniels to cook in order to save my fantasy season instead of handing the ball off near the goal line like he did in the loss at Pittsburgh. The Eagles are rolling and could give the Commanders a harsh dose of reality, but I’m usually wrong, so I might as well go with my heart here.

It’s impossible to pick Chicago until Caleb Williams shows improvement. Will a new offensive coordinator do the trick? Probably not, but even if it does, Green Bay can score a lot of points.

Speaking of scoring, the Lions figure to smoke Jacksonville and backup quarterback Mac Jones as long as Jared Goff refrains from throwing five interceptions. The Vikings barely got out of Jacksonville with a win last week, so I’ll grab Tennessee and the points. Sam Darnold has thrown five picks in his last two games.

The Dolphins were spunky as an underdog in Los Angeles, but I’ll fade them as a favorite. Miami will be dramatic and win by a field goal.

I’ll attempt to Ram It again since Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp both played well in the loss on Monday. If Matthew Stafford or Kyren Williams can ram the ball into the end zone a few times, Los Angeles should cover.

Are the Saints back? I’m not so sure. I will go with a Jameis Winston revenge spot instead. Pittsburgh getting points at home is an auto pick, Anthony Richardson is a bigger disaster than even the Jets, and Denver still does not get credit.

The 49ers are reloaded with McCaffrey and Pearsall and they won in Tampa despite missing three field goals. They should crush Seattle.

The Chiefs will finally run out of luck against Buffalo, the Bengals are desperate, and the Cowboys have faced a brutal schedule. This Houston game is their easiest in several weeks and they will find a way to cover.

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