It is Week 7 already and I am stuck in a midseason rut. I have been under .500 for two straight weeks, and now all I want to do is pick chalk. It is probably because favorites did so well in Week 6. Let’s see if the trend continues!
Denver at New Orleans -1.5
This one is already dead. It’s probably because Denver was favored at kickoff. I just have to come to terms with the Broncos being a decent team. The Saints have now lost five straight since their scintillating start and Spencer Rattler is probably a career backup.
New England +4.5 vs. Jacksonville
Back to London for the Jaguars, who were crushed by the Bears over there last Sunday. Should Jacksonville be favored by more than a field goal against anybody? Maybe the Patriots, because they haven’t covered since their narrow defeat vs. Seattle in Week 2. Still, I am going with New England and its new rookie quarterback.
Seattle at Atlanta -2.5
The Seahawks have been dreadful defensively while losing three in a row. The Falcons are on a roll with three straight wins over NFC South rivals. I am picking Atlanta and hoping that gambling really is this easy.
Tennessee at Buffalo -8.5
Will Levis threw for 95 yards in Tennessee’s loss to Indianapolis last week. That is not going to be enough to keep up with Buffalo and new addition Amari Cooper!
Cincinnati -4.5 at Cleveland
The Browns covered last week while losing to Philadelphia. Mazel Tov! I think the Bengals will crush Cleveland even though Joe Burrow never plays well there.
Houston at Green Bay -2.5
Both of these teams and their young quarterbacks are living up to the hype! I am giving the edge to the Packers because Jordan Love spreads the ball around so well that the defense never knows where to focus its efforts. Plus, C.J. Stroud is still without his top target Nico Collins.
Miami at Indianapolis -3.5
The Colts have been dramatic lately with their last three games being decided by three points. That doesn’t bode well for the chalk, but the Dolphins have been dreadful since the Tua Tagovailoa injury. On the other hand, I am worried that Anthony Richardson returning to action could slow down Indianapolis.
Detroit +1.5 at Minnesota
The Vikings will be fresh from the bye week, but the Lions have looked like a juggernaut lately. Detroit’s unstoppable offense will hand Minnesota its first defeat.
Philadelphia at NY Giants +3.5
After a surprising performance in Seattle, the Giants’ offense went back on the struggle bus against Cincinnati. Fortunately, Malik Nabers has cleared concussion protocol and will begin tormenting the Eagles this week. This Giants defense is underrated and will slow down Philly enough to make for a very close game.
Las Vegas +5.5 at LA Rams
The Rams are one shocking comeback vs. San Francisco away from being winless. They should not be laying this many points against anyone. I will test my luck with Las Vegas even though Cooper Kupp may return for Los Angeles.
Carolina at Washington -7.5
The Panthers have allowed over 30 points in three straight games. I am going with the Commies to cover and hoping Jayden Daniels can save my fantasy football season.
Kansas City at San Francisco -1.5
Super Bowl rematch! The 49ers have had a weird season with horrible fourth-quarter collapses against the Rams and Cardinals. The Chiefs always find a way to win, but I am banking on San Francisco getting its act together at home.
NY Jets at Pittsburgh -1.5
This is my favorite pick of the slate. The Steelers laying less than a field goal against the desperate Jets? Sign me up! The Davante Adams trade and the Robert Saleh firing have distracted from the real problem with New York: Aaron Rodgers is washed!
Baltimore at Tampa Bay +4.5
Baltimore has put its 0-2 start in the rearview mirror with some big wins over quality opponents, but this is too many points to lay on the road. The Buccaneers are no slouch and have shown they can compete with anyone (expect that no-show game against Denver).
LA Chargers -2.5 at Arizona
Arizona’s comeback win over San Francisco is looking like a total fluke, while the Chargers have shown they can manhandle lousy teams. Bolts should win by a touchdown.
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