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Merry Christmas! Roger Goodell gave his haters a special gift this year by figuring out how to play NFL football on a Wednesday while lining the owners’ pockets with Netflix money. That’s great news for those of us who thought we would have to watch the NBA on Christmas. The only thing that can make the deal better is if I can get a couple of picks correct. The Steelers are down bad after two straight double-digit losses to Super Bowl contenders, but now they are home underdogs against the Chiefs, and I love their chances to win outright even though Kansas City has finally started covering spreads. In its only other road dog spot this season, Pittsburgh defeated the Ravens outright. In the late game, Baltimore looks to cover as a road favorite for the third time in a row. I’m happy to lay those points with how Lamar Jackson and the offense have played all year.
For the Boxing Day special, I am doing the square thing and taking Seattle. It has been a long time coming, but I finally have confidence in the Seahawks again, even if it is only because they are playing a Chicago team that has lost nine in a row, with the last three coming by at least two scores.
The Chargers coming east on a short week is a little scary, but they play an east coast style of ball, so I will bank on them bludgeoning New England. The Bengals are finally hitting their stride, but I don’t think they hold off Bo Nix and the bucking Broncos. Arizona is in a tailspin, which means that it is time to Ram It. Sean McVay’s team is coming off ATS wins against two other tailspin teams in the 49ers and Jets.
Sunday will feel strange with just nine games on the slate, but Green Bay at Minnesota should be a great game. The spread being fewer than three points is a little disrespectful to the Vikings, so I will roll with them. In the late afternoon, almost everyone will be watching the Cowboys and Eagles. Let’s go with Dallas and the huge number since Dem Boyz have won four of five and have figured out how to run the ball lately. In prime time, I like how Michael Penix Jr. looked in his first start enough to take Atlanta in Washington’s letdown spot. Laying points with the Lions is the squarest pick of the week for me, but they came through as a big road favorite last week, so it must be done.
What we learned today in the NFL —
— Dallas does have some pride after all
— Tampa Bay is jinxed
— New England is both pesky and pitiful at the same time
— Cincy is on a mission… possibly to nowhere
— Cleveland is DOA with DTR
— Miami still looks like one of the best of those who get a rest after Week 18.
— The Rams have a great coach, a great QB, some great receivers, a money RB and a scrappy defense …. which might be all they need to win the NFC
— The Eagles can’t get a Super Bowl ticket with Pickett
— Detroit should not consider Chicago a tune up for anything,… including the Vikings
— Atlanta seems to be rising like a Phoenix, with Penix
Hey everyone and welcome to NFL Week 16 where I try to beat the spread every week, make a little money, or brag to our work besties that we simply pick winners cause our state doesn’t allow sports betting yet (fuck you California). So take a look below…let me know in the comments section if I fucked this up or on any of my social media handles (note my Week 15 picks were 87.5% on the money). Let’s fucking gooooooooo.
| | @gawdbrudder
I went 9-7 last week and clawed to within 15 games of .500 at 104-119-1 with three weeks to play. That ground is not impossible to make up, but it is going to take foresight, discipline, and some hefty road favorites covering this week. Just look at that Detroit line at Chicago. It’s over a touchdown even though the Lions were shredded on defense last week and nearly allowed a miracle comeback by Caleb Williams on Thanksgiving. So why are we backing Detroit? Because this season, laying the big number with Detroit has paid off. The Lions are 3-1 against the spread when being favored by seven or more, and I expect them to pound the struggling Bears.
I am also taking the Rams, Eagles, Vikings, and Buccaneers as road favorites. They probably won’t all work out, but maybe they will go 3-1 since all four are surging right now while playing inferior competition. I actually like the Giants pick this week since they were able to move the ball a little against Baltimore and Michael Penix Jr. is making his first start for Atlanta. Maybe a rookie mistake or two will help the Giants intercept the ball for the third time this season.
I might not even watch the NFL on Saturday because of the College Football Playoff and a decent college hoops slate, but I expect Kansas City and Pittsburgh to come through for me. The Chiefs have transformed into favorites with the news that Patrick Mahomes is practicing fully this week, so getting two and a half points makes this one the easiest pick on the board. For the Steelers, they failed me as underdogs in Philadelphia, but I’m rolling with them again since they own Lamar Jackson.
Back to Sunday, I am becoming the Carolina whisperer as I smartly jumped off the bandwagon last week when Sir Purr and company became favorites against Dallas. However, now the Cats are back to being dogs and facing a floundering Cardinals team at home. Sign me back up!
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Brandon’s Posts
On Mike Tomlin’s big decision….
One guy was ready to answer the bell, did so, and helped lead his team to VICTORY.
The other guy wasn’t ready to step up … injury or otherwise… and hasn’t really shown much to indicate he’s anywhere near the guy he used to be in terms of leader. There’s just no decision to make. It has to be Fields.
And to add to the relatively short, but undeniably flashy list of Italian stallions for tennis,…
And to add to the relatively short, but undeniably flashy list of Italian stallions for tennis, in the tradition of the always fabulous Fabio Fognini (he could saunter like leisurely Mussolini), Adriano Panata — who not only did the improbable by winning botht the French and the Italian Opens in 1969, but did the impossible by beating Borg twice on clay– and “Making Waves” Matteo Berrettini, we now have Jannick Sinner, an amazing carrot top, whose only prop is reach that is simply inhuman. We have not seen such a mixture of raw power, defensive prowess, great reflexes and mental tenacity since Pete Sampras, Boris Becker, and Bjorn Borg morphed into one. Impressive win tonight over crowd favorite Tommy Paul.
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NASCAR Preview: YellaWood 500 @ Talladega Superspeedway
Hello Chabdog Racing Fans! Once again we find ourselves at Talladega Superspeedway this season with the biggest difference being that we are in the playoffs! Below you’ll find a track map to get a sense of how big this place is! I mean this place is HUUUUUUUGE, it even has a tram to shuttle you around this place!
Source: TSS-23-471382-Facility-Map_v4_CROP-FINAL.pdf (talladegasuperspeedway.com)
Qualifying is done for this race, and I’ve posted the Top 10 drivers below for today’s race below:
Source: Talladega Superspeedway Race Results, Lineup | Official Site Of NASCAR
However, we’re not done yet folks as we’re also in NASCAR playoff season! Fortunately, those, “on the bubble” (9, 10, 11 & 12), still have a chance in this race and next week’s race in Charlotte to try to come out on top as the Round of 8 will commence in Las Vegas on October 15th. Currently, William Byron has clinched his spot in Las Vegas as he just won the previous race @ Texas Motor Speedway. So technically we are now fighting for 7 remaining spots among 11 drivers. So let’s see how we currently stand below:
Source: 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs | Official Site Of NASCAR
Every week the Chabdog Sports Team makes on-air picks on the show for the upcoming NASCAR race and earns points based on the following criteria:
: Anyone who picks the winning driver gets 3 points.
: Anyone who picks the 2nd place driver gets 2 points.
: Anyone who picks the 3rd place driver gets 1 point.
Lastly, if no one picks a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd place driver then 1 point is awarded to the picked driver that is closest to the podium. Therefore, in our fantasy game, someone from the team always walks away with a point.
This week’s “chalk pick” is Aric Almirola.
Last week’s race results:
AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 @ Texas Motor Speedway Results
Source: Texas Motor Speedway Race Results, Lineup | Official Site Of NASCAR
My pick: Kyle Larson for the mere fact that he’s qualified 4th for today’s race and is also sitting in the 8th spot of the playoffs. A win here would clinch a spot for him until the Round of 8 and he needs that since he could get bumped out of his spot based on his performance here and in Charlotte.
Lastly, sound off who you think our podium winner is for today’s race in the comments below!
With that, let’s get ready to NAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAASCAR!
| | @darthvaber99
Abe’s Week 4 Shitty NFL Picks (AST)
Hey everyone and welcome to another episode of me making shitty picks based on flawed science, numbies, and logic since my current record is:
Week 1: 6
Week 2: 8
Week 3: 6
Also, need to honorably mention that you’ll have a whopping 42.55% chance that you’ll make any money off my NFL picks so, “Yes, I’m truly the Oakland A’s of making NFL picks this season”! But then again, you can fade me for a 57.45% chance of making money from my picks (not bad). So let’s try this again with the goal of getting into the double digits with my Week 4 picks.
PACKERS +1.5*: “Love” how the Packers are going into this game at home as undergogs considering Aaron Jones might still come in and play as he’s listed as “questionable” right now. The battle of the 2-1 teams will make for a great competitive Thursday Night Football game with the Packers edging out the Lions at Lambeau Field.
JAGUARS -3*: Excited to see this game in Toy Story mode on Disney + as this game will be played at Wembley Stadium in London with no team actually being at “home”…and, with only diehard Flacons and Jags fans making up the minority of European NFL fans who may have no particular loyalty to either team but are there to drink, cause hell, and watch LIVE American “futbol”. Both teams will be traveling far with jet lag sucking for both of them. On paper, I think an argument can be made for either team since the Jags have better offensive yards than the Falcons, and the Falcons have given up less defensively than the Jags. Ultimately, I think Trevor Lawrence is the better and more experienced QB who is hunting for a win after losing to the Texans as a 9.5-point favorite last week. Fortunately for us, the spread is only 3.
BILLS -2.5*: I know a lot of folks are leaning on the Dolphins to bulldoze every team in the NFL by 50 points, but I am going with the Bills at home even though the Dolphins are an offensive powerhouse. However, let’s keep in mind that the Bills are also an offensive powerhouse, with a better defense than Miami. One thing to keep in mind is that Miami has a lot of inflated offensive numbies right now because the Broncos sucked super ass and got blown out of the water by 50 points. I don’t expect a repeat here in Buffalo.
VIKINGS -3.5*: The battle of the 0-3 teams begins. I can tell you that I’ve picked the Vikings and have lost my ass to them in the last 3 weeks, however, the Vikings come into this game as the clear winner of the offensive game with fantastic numbies coming from Kirk Cousins (QB) and Justin Jefferson (WR). Yes, I’ve been talking like this about the Vikings since Week 1, but we’re also talking about the 0-3 Carolina Panthers. Not going to lie, but if I come out a loser on this pick I’ll pretty much hate the Vikings for the rest of the season.
BRONCOS -3.5* “SHIT GAME OF THE WEEK”: Welcome Ladies & Gentleman to the “Shit Game of The Week”. Two shitty teams battling it out in Chicago where the loser will be crowned a real, real shitty team. Favoring the Broncos on their offensive advantage and Sean Payton needing to redeem himself after losing to the Dolphins by 50 points.
BROWNS -2.5*: Counting on Deshaun Watson (QB) and Kareem Hunt (RB) to play and provide the offense to beat the Ravens. Also, we need to acknowledge that the Browns have great defensive numbies and I expect them to put the brakes on Lamar Jackson (QB).
STEELERS -3*: Yes, Houston has better offensive and defensive numbers right now, but they’ve also only won one fluke game against a Jaguars team that was a 9.5-point favorite. Steelers on the other hand beat the Raiders in Vegas, and the Browns with a powerful defense. This game might bring the Texans back to reality with a loss here at home.
RAMS +1*: The Colts QB situation will be a real factor in this game. If Anthony Richardson does come back to play against the Rams, then +1 will look like a steal since he hasn’t played in a few weeks. Offensively and defensively the Rams hold the advantage. Although they’ve lost the last two games, it’s also worth mentioning it was against the Bengals and 49rs. Rams need to get back in the W column and I think they’ll resurrect their mojo from Game 1 to get it done here.
BUCS +3.5*: As of right now, Derek Carr (QB) is still questionable for this game, and I expect that without the Saint’s star QB, for the Saints to go into suck-ass mode. Regardless, I can’t see D. Carr at 100%, even if he does play. My money is on the Bucs +3.5.
Eagles -8.5*: The 3-0 Eagles are hot with the Commanders proving that they can lose by 34 points. I feel like 8.5 points is chump change for the Eagles with this team easily going 4-0 at home.
Bengals -2.5*: On paper, both teams look equal with 1 tight game Win a piece. Ultimately, the Bengals are a slightly better team, and that is why they’re favored to win by a low margin. Gotta pick a side, and am banking on the Bengals’ coming off a win to edge them out over the Titans by more than 2.5 points. Ra
Chargers -5.5*: Without Jimmy Garoppolo (QB), the Raiders are pretty much walking into an electrocution in LA. If Garoppolo does play, then it may be possible to see the Raiders come within the point spread since they haven’t lost by more than 5 points if you omit their Buffalo Bills game
Cowboys -7*: The Patriots and the Cowboys have both faced the Jets in the first few weeks of the season with the Cowboys going 30-10 and the Pats going 15-10. On paper, both teams look equal, so no one here is the clear winner. However, the Cowboys have proven to be strong offensively, and I expect them to play hard at home after losing to the Arizona Cardinals 28-16.
Cardinals +14*: We all know the 3-0 49ers are good. We also know that it’s very likely the 49ers will go 4-0 after playing the Cardinals at home. However, the same could be said about the Cowboys who also lost to the Cardinals as a heavy favorite meaning that the Cardinals could keep this game tighter than what the bookmakers in Vegas are calling for. Another factor in this game is that Deebo Samuel (WR) is currently listed as questionable which favors the Cardinals tremendously if he does not play or is not running at 100%.
Chiefs -9.5*: The Chiefs are feeling good after beating the Bears by 31 points, while the Jets continue to struggle under Zach Wilson. Taylor Swift is expected to be at the game to motivate Travis Kelce to get TD after TD with the media going bananas every time Travis touches the ball while robbing Jackson and Brittany Mahomes from the spotlight (oh no..what shall we do?).
Seahawks +1.5*: What a gift to have the Seahawks come into this game as 1.5-point underdogs. Right off the bat, the Giants star RB Saquan Barkley is listed as questionable, and the Giants cannot afford to lose anybody right now. I mean, this team is already bad with a full squad, so losing your RB or not being able to play him at 100% is just bad. Ultimately, this will be a great Monday Night Football game if you’re a Seahawks fan so go out and get yourself some beer, pizza, and chicken wings, and go watch the Giants lose in New Jersey.
*Odds courtesy of MGM Sportsbook (09/27/2023)
| | @darthvaber99
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