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Merry Christmas! Roger Goodell gave his haters a special gift this year by figuring out how to play NFL football on a Wednesday while lining the owners’ pockets with Netflix money. That’s great news for those of us who thought we would have to watch the NBA on Christmas. The only thing that can make the deal better is if I can get a couple of picks correct. The Steelers are down bad after two straight double-digit losses to Super Bowl contenders, but now they are home underdogs against the Chiefs, and I love their chances to win outright even though Kansas City has finally started covering spreads. In its only other road dog spot this season, Pittsburgh defeated the Ravens outright. In the late game, Baltimore looks to cover as a road favorite for the third time in a row. I’m happy to lay those points with how Lamar Jackson and the offense have played all year.
For the Boxing Day special, I am doing the square thing and taking Seattle. It has been a long time coming, but I finally have confidence in the Seahawks again, even if it is only because they are playing a Chicago team that has lost nine in a row, with the last three coming by at least two scores.
The Chargers coming east on a short week is a little scary, but they play an east coast style of ball, so I will bank on them bludgeoning New England. The Bengals are finally hitting their stride, but I don’t think they hold off Bo Nix and the bucking Broncos. Arizona is in a tailspin, which means that it is time to Ram It. Sean McVay’s team is coming off ATS wins against two other tailspin teams in the 49ers and Jets.
Sunday will feel strange with just nine games on the slate, but Green Bay at Minnesota should be a great game. The spread being fewer than three points is a little disrespectful to the Vikings, so I will roll with them. In the late afternoon, almost everyone will be watching the Cowboys and Eagles. Let’s go with Dallas and the huge number since Dem Boyz have won four of five and have figured out how to run the ball lately. In prime time, I like how Michael Penix Jr. looked in his first start enough to take Atlanta in Washington’s letdown spot. Laying points with the Lions is the squarest pick of the week for me, but they came through as a big road favorite last week, so it must be done.
What we learned today in the NFL —
— Dallas does have some pride after all
— Tampa Bay is jinxed
— New England is both pesky and pitiful at the same time
— Cincy is on a mission… possibly to nowhere
— Cleveland is DOA with DTR
— Miami still looks like one of the best of those who get a rest after Week 18.
— The Rams have a great coach, a great QB, some great receivers, a money RB and a scrappy defense …. which might be all they need to win the NFC
— The Eagles can’t get a Super Bowl ticket with Pickett
— Detroit should not consider Chicago a tune up for anything,… including the Vikings
— Atlanta seems to be rising like a Phoenix, with Penix
Hey everyone and welcome to NFL Week 16 where I try to beat the spread every week, make a little money, or brag to our work besties that we simply pick winners cause our state doesn’t allow sports betting yet (fuck you California). So take a look below…let me know in the comments section if I fucked this up or on any of my social media handles (note my Week 15 picks were 87.5% on the money). Let’s fucking gooooooooo.
| | @gawdbrudder
I went 9-7 last week and clawed to within 15 games of .500 at 104-119-1 with three weeks to play. That ground is not impossible to make up, but it is going to take foresight, discipline, and some hefty road favorites covering this week. Just look at that Detroit line at Chicago. It’s over a touchdown even though the Lions were shredded on defense last week and nearly allowed a miracle comeback by Caleb Williams on Thanksgiving. So why are we backing Detroit? Because this season, laying the big number with Detroit has paid off. The Lions are 3-1 against the spread when being favored by seven or more, and I expect them to pound the struggling Bears.
I am also taking the Rams, Eagles, Vikings, and Buccaneers as road favorites. They probably won’t all work out, but maybe they will go 3-1 since all four are surging right now while playing inferior competition. I actually like the Giants pick this week since they were able to move the ball a little against Baltimore and Michael Penix Jr. is making his first start for Atlanta. Maybe a rookie mistake or two will help the Giants intercept the ball for the third time this season.
I might not even watch the NFL on Saturday because of the College Football Playoff and a decent college hoops slate, but I expect Kansas City and Pittsburgh to come through for me. The Chiefs have transformed into favorites with the news that Patrick Mahomes is practicing fully this week, so getting two and a half points makes this one the easiest pick on the board. For the Steelers, they failed me as underdogs in Philadelphia, but I’m rolling with them again since they own Lamar Jackson.
Back to Sunday, I am becoming the Carolina whisperer as I smartly jumped off the bandwagon last week when Sir Purr and company became favorites against Dallas. However, now the Cats are back to being dogs and facing a floundering Cardinals team at home. Sign me back up!
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ChabDog’s Slam Dunk Week 1 Choices vs. the dreaded spread:
“Fight, Fight, Fight for Washington State… the Chock Full of CFAA” CDST Show….
The Crimson and Gray will be A Ok this Saturday…. even if they’ve only got 1 comrade in the very sad PAC 2… LOL… and ChabDog Sports will report on it all in this Sunday’s “Fight, Fight, Fight for Washington State… the Chock Full of CFAA” CDST Show….
Games that are food for thought in week 1 of CFAA:
— Dabo clashes with Kirby
— Penn St. meanders into Morgantown
— The Golden Domers meet the 12th man who lives at College Station
— Cowpokes tangle with Phoenix’s Pitchforkers
— Tommy Trojan travels to Death Valley
— Spurned, passed over Cougars try to win one for Tom Tuttle by taking their frustrations out on Portland St.
— and the rest of the games are Cupcake City, baby!
Then there will certainly be time for more musings about Week 1 of NFL and the early games, including a replay of last years AFC Championship,(does anyone really expect Lamar to get very far at Arrowhead) and a possible preview of the NFC Championship (with A-rodg trying to dodge old age in Philly)..
Clips, quips and Dorothy Dawn’s men’s health spot; including athletic housewives from the Police Academy, showering more moral disgust on George Constanza and a hot haul in the Sahara for Humphrey.
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Abe’s Posts
NASCAR Preview: Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400
Yeeeeeeeeehaw! We find ourselves at the Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas this Sunday! Look at this place! It even has its own dedicated dirt track and “Lil’ Texas Motor Speedway” track, proving once again, that everything just goes BIG in Texas. 
Source: tms-facility-diagram.jpg (texasmotorspeedway.com)
Sunday’s race will be a 267-lapper, 400-mile race, on a 1.5-mile oval speedway with the lineup already set in place with Bubba Wallace taking the poll position. The top 10 drivers of the lineup are shown below who will battle it out starting at 12:30 p.m. (PT) / 3:30 p.m. (ET).
Source: AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 | Official Site Of NASCAR
In addition to watching a great race, this is also a playoff race with 12 drivers competing to make the final 8 scheduled for October 15 at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The good news is that the 4 remaining drivers in the bubble have this race, Talladega (Oct 1), and Charlotte (Oct 9) to win a race (clinch a spot) or acquire enough points to make the final 8 spots. As such, we’ll have 12 drivers fighting it out (extra hard) in Texas to win the race.
Source: 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs | Official Site Of NASCAR
Every week the Chabdog Sports Team makes on-air picks on the show for the upcoming NASCAR race and earns points based on the following criteria:
: Anyone who picks the winning driver gets 3 points.
: Anyone who picks the 2nd place driver gets 2 points.
: Anyone who picks the 3rd place driver gets 1 point.
Lastly, if no one picks a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd place driver then 1 point is awarded to the picked driver that is closest to the podium. Therefore, in our fantasy game, someone from the team always walks away with a point.
This week’s “chalk pick” is Bubba Wallace
ABE’s PICK: I’m picking Kyle Busch since he has won more and has been in the top five than any other active driver (4 wins & 14 top-fives) here @ Texas Motor Speedway. He’s currently sitting in the 7th spot in the lineup and the 6th spot in the playoff standings. Right now I need to get my pick in the top 3 so that I can gain some points and continue to secure the second spot in our exclusive Chabdog Pick’em Game! So I’m putting all my cookies in with someone who has the most experience getting to the top 5 at this race course and is currently in the playoff hunt. However, let me hear in the comments who your podium winner is for this race. With that, LET’S GET READY TO NAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAASCAR!
| @darthvaber99
Abe’s Week 3 Shitty NFL Picks (Against the Spread)
Another week More shitty picks! Welcome to another episode of watching me barely make .500 on my weekly NFL picks, “Against the Spread (ATS)”. As you can see below, I’m in last place, but also in last place with the CEO of Chabdog Sports. So if I make more shitty picks, the CEO will probably love me more because at least he won’t be in last place. Also, is that a dildo on the field in the picture below??? Ahhh, only at independently owned Chabdog Sports can we somehow and magically pull off these shenanigans on the West Coast of America. Is it because we work with “Frank The Tank” from Barstool Sports and they love him so much no one wants to mess with our little mom-and-pop show here in Cali? Is it because we are owned by a law firm? I don’t know, so here you have it, more shitty picks…and a dildo from a Californian trying to make a brand for himself. So without further delay….my shitty NFL picks.
(Week 2 Results – Eric Sauve)
GIANTS +10*: The 49rs are not the Cardinals, but I also can’t see them getting plowed like Week 1 against the Cowboys. On paper, the 49rs are favored offensively, however, they are showing a slightly weaker defense (although some of that can be attributed to the yards they gave up to the Rams). I like to think that the Giants have more life than to be beaten by 10 points…also hope they kick it when they’re down by 12 points.
(per ESPN)
RAVENS -8*: The Ravens are offensively and defensively better than the Colts. Additionally, Colts QB Anthony Richardson is listed as questionable with Gardner Minshew getting all the practice this week. This could get really ugly for the Colts making an 8-point spread look like chump change.
(per ESPN)
TITANS -3*: Had the Browns had Nick Chubb (RB) coming into this game, I may have picked the Browns -3. However, that is not the case, and will lean on the Titans to keep this game close or take home the W.
(per ESPN)
LIONS -3*: Jared Goff has racked up some great offensive numbies & beating out the KC Chiefs in Week 1. The Falcons are undefeated and show great defense. This game may be close with the edge going to interceptions or mistakes. This is a home game for the Lions and I lean on them putting on a good show for their fanbase.
(per ESPN)
SAINTS +2*: Everyone who knows me knows I’m a Packers fan, but I try to make picks based on a feeble attempt to win money. Saints are undefeated and have great offensive and defensive numbers going into this game. Additionally, Aaron Jones is questionable for this game compacted with my low confidence that he’ll play a full game against the Saints (if he plays). +2 is looking like a gift to me.
(per ESPN)
TEXANS +9.5*: On paper, the Texans actually have better offensive and defensive numbers with C.J. Stroud (QB) going for more yards and completions than Trevor Lawerance (QB). I can sit here and deny the math and say the Jags are going to run over the Texans by more than two touchdowns, but I’m simply going to go with the science here against a 9.5-point spread.
(per ESPN)
BRONCOS +6.5*: I love watching Russell Wilson (QB) lose, and the 0-2 Broncos have done a great job of keeping the streak going. The Dolphins on the other hand are undefeated with great offensive numbies coming into this game. However, the Broncos have lost by less than 6.5 points in the last two games and have only beaten the Patriots by more than that. This could turn out to be a close game considering the Dolphins QB has already thrown two interceptions. In the end, the Dolphins have the offense to go 3-0.
(per ESPN)
VIKINGS +1*: The battle of the 0-2 Chargers and the 0-2 Vikings with a 1-point spread makes this game, “the shit game of the week”. The Chargers are coming into this game defensively weak and in Minnesota. Everything is screaming for the Vikings to break their losing streak.
(per ESPN)
PATRIOTS -3*: The Patriots come into this game offensively and defensively favored against a 4-interception Zach Wilson New York Jets team. Had it been Aaron Rodgers, this game may have leaned the other way. I see the Patriots getting a confidence boost here when they beat the Jets by more than 3 points.
(per ESPN)
COMMANDERS +6.5*: I know many are leaning on the Bills, but we’re not talking about the Bills beating the undefeated Commanders at home…we’re talking about the Bills beating them by more than a touchdown. The numbies show that the Bills are not going to destroy the Commanders the same way they destroyed the Raiders. Now if they do destroy the Commanders, I do have Josh Allen on my fantasy team so I hope it’s by a million gazillion points.
(per ESPN)
Seahawks -6*: The Seahawks have been hit or miss the last two games with numbies demonstrating a weaker defense. Wouldn’t take much to keep this game close considering the Panthers lost to the Saints by only 3 points. However, with the Panthers star QB and RB listed as questionable with zero to nada practice this week, it could spell a huge disaster in Seattle for them (especially if they don’t play).
(per ESPN)
CARDINALS +12.5*: The Cowboys have been absolutely fantastic coming out of the gate and easily expect them to be the 3-0 Cowboys. However, the numbies show the Cards to be a little more competitive. Additionally, the Cards have not lost to any team by more than 4 points. Cowboy fans, regardless, should be happy with the actual outcome of this game.
(per ESPN)
BEARS +12.5*: The Chiefs have not beaten any team so far this season by more than 8 points and currently have Isiah Pacheco (RB) listed as questionable. The Bears are not a good team but hope that they’ll put in enough of a fight to keep it closer than 12.5 points. Regardless, Chief fans should come away happy with this game.
(per ESPN)
RAIDERS -2.5*: I am not a big fan of this game since both teams are hit-and-miss right now. The question is who’s going to hit and who’s going to miss. I am currently in a suicide pool and am not making this game my pick of the week since it could swing either way. This is a home game for the Raiders (home opener) and they’ve won two of their three last at Allegiant.
(per ESPN)
BUCS 5.5+*: Two undefeated teams that will be battling it out in Tampa. There is no math that says one team is going to blow the other out of the water here. I expect a tight game and the Bucs to cover the spread on their home turf.
(per ESPN)
RAMS +2*: This is a gift pick considering Joe Burrow is questionable and may not even play on MNF. Offensively and defensively the RAMS look better on paper with a healthier squad. The Bengals have yet to win a game this season and are likely to continue that streak on Monday. My money is on the RAMS.
(per ESPN)
*ALL ODDS COURTESY OF MGM SPORTSBOOK (09/17/2023)
| @darthvaber99
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