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ChabDog’s Super-appreciation and Super-ass awards for Week 11 (or this week’s results, from bottom to top) :
1) Super-appreciation — McConkey (for his megatron catch) and Dobbins (for his jumping jack vault into the end zone} to cinch the Chargers’ winning drive), Boswell (who still knows how to kick well), Allen (who took the Buffalo by the horns) and finally drove the stake into Chief Dracula’s heart (thank you god!), the entire New Orleans offense (which finally came out of that ridiculous coma), and Nix (who didn’t wallow but told his teammates to follow)
2) Super-ass — Jumpy Justin and a very fearful McPherson (the latest well-adjusted kickers to just go psycho), ChabDog (for actually believing that the Slackers who do more than Bearly win), the guy coaching the Ti-tans (for still loving “leave those points on the table Levis”, and ChabDog (worst of all — for actually believing the Jets would not snatch defeat from the jaws of victory)
Hey everyone & welcome back to my kick-ass blog where I make 50% + accurate picks Against The Spread (ATS)! Rolling into Week 11 with a 58% SZN winning percentage (ATS) and tied for first place among my co-hosts at ChabDog Sports (see below)!
Results to the end of Week 10: gameswins to playedweek 10% ChabDog 151 82 54% Well Read 151 78 52% Abe 151 87 58% Dorothy D 151 87…
— Well Read Producer ChabDog.com (@NewportBest_) November 12, 2024
You damn right I have to brag about this every week! These are hardcore football people and it’s an absolute honor to be able to keep up with them…especially Dorothy Dawn who lives, eats, and shits football all day along with every single person she hangs out with in her life..including her dad, “Packers Bob”, who’s been on our show multiple times and attended the Ice Bowl at Lambeau Field in 1967. So being tied with Dorothy and her army is incredible since all my time is focused on my full-time job, my social media content game, and clearing out my bedroom to make room for a gaming studio for future Twitch streams. So yeah, fuck all of you I’m winning and taking names…LMAO!!! Anyways…..before considering my Week 11 Scrumdidilyumptious ATS Picks, here is my SZN resume for your review.
Resume:
WEEK 1: 10/16 (62.5%) WEEK 2: 8/15 + 1 Push (53.3%) WEEK 3: 8/16 (50%) WEEK 4: 9/16 (56%) WEEK 5: 7/14 (50%) WEEK 6: 10/14 (71%) WEEK 7: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 8: 10/16 (63%) WEEK 9: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 10: 7/14 (50%) SEASON RECORD (ATS): 87/151 + 1 Push (58%)
OK, now that we’re all caught up and you’re still willing to read my scumbag-ass picks, let’s fucking go NFL Week 11 (thank you for acknowledging I’m one of theeeeee best at ChabDog Sports to do it this SZN)!
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
I texted our producer and told him I was taking the chalk (favored team) and going with the Eagles (-3.5). My Thursday Night Football chalk picks have been extremely shitty the last couple of weeks so this made me a little hesitant to pick the Eagles. Still, you got to look at every game as a new situation and felt that the Eagles had enough offensive weapons to beat the Commanders and I wasn’t wrong since the Eagles beat them by 8 points. So I’m already 1/1 for Week 11 along with our producer who also picked them.
| | @gawdbrudder
Week 11 was looking not so terrible for me, but then I was burned by Detroit and the Rams in prime time. The Lions did not show up for the first half and I still only lost on the hook, while the Rams were unable to ram the ball into the end zone against Miami’s defense. My overall mark is now 72-79-1. That is not good, but it is still close enough to .500 that I can talk myself into getting there by chipping away for the rest of the season.
I actually hate the Washington pick, but I need Jayden Daniels to cook in order to save my fantasy season instead of handing the ball off near the goal line like he did in the loss at Pittsburgh. The Eagles are rolling and could give the Commanders a harsh dose of reality, but I’m usually wrong, so I might as well go with my heart here.
It’s impossible to pick Chicago until Caleb Williams shows improvement. Will a new offensive coordinator do the trick? Probably not, but even if it does, Green Bay can score a lot of points.
Speaking of scoring, the Lions figure to smoke Jacksonville and backup quarterback Mac Jones as long as Jared Goff refrains from throwing five interceptions. The Vikings barely got out of Jacksonville with a win last week, so I’ll grab Tennessee and the points. Sam Darnold has thrown five picks in his last two games.
The Dolphins were spunky as an underdog in Los Angeles, but I’ll fade them as a favorite. Miami will be dramatic and win by a field goal.
I’ll attempt to Ram It again since Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp both played well in the loss on Monday. If Matthew Stafford or Kyren Williams can ram the ball into the end zone a few times, Los Angeles should cover.
Are the Saints back? I’m not so sure. I will go with a Jameis Winston revenge spot instead. Pittsburgh getting points at home is an auto pick, Anthony Richardson is a bigger disaster than even the Jets, and Denver still does not get credit.
The 49ers are reloaded with McCaffrey and Pearsall and they won in Tampa despite missing three field goals. They should crush Seattle.
The Chiefs will finally run out of luck against Buffalo, the Bengals are desperate, and the Cowboys have faced a brutal schedule. This Houston game is their easiest in several weeks and they will find a way to cover.
Big No. 2 ChabDog picks himself up from the dead, after enduring another utterly pointless beating from the Week 10 spread, and comes through with his totally random picks for the more rational Sports Rock pick ’em pool for Week 11. Just hope I don’t step in No. 2 in the process.
1) TNF- COMMANDERS @ EAGLES– The Commanders have lost some command and control. GOING EAGLES, AND IT’S TOTALLY LEGAL!
SUN NOV. 17:
2) AM- RAVENS @ STEELERS — So sorry to burst the bubble of all my Maryland friends (I think I still have a few) BUT THE STEELERS TOTALLY OWN THE DEPRAVED RAVENS…. GOING ALL IN FOR THE STEELERS!
3) AM – PACKERS @ BEARS — If the Bears can’t hanlde the Patiots, they certain can’t handle the PACKERS… going to stay with my instincts and staying with GREEN BAY
4) AM- COLTS @ JETS — Jets are in total yo yo mode… up one week and down another… this is an up week… and Joe Flacco is just killing time, not to mention Indy’s hopes and dreams… GOING WITH THE JETS BABY!!!!
5) PM- FALCONS @ BRONCOS — Broncos will certainly come into this game sleepless and grouchy but a bad attidue only gets you so far…. however, the Falcones never win big games on the road… and yet I think Koo Koo with the magic shoe makes another appearance… GOING WITH FALCONES!!!
6) PM- CHIEFS @ BILLS — Please for the love of freaking god, dear God, I implore you to send fire and brimstone raining down on the infernal Chiefs and give Buffalo this victory they so dearly deserve. Fact is the Bills are a better team… except for their wrestling coach…. omg I just cannot bring myself to pick the Chiefs. GOING BILLS OR i’M GONNA SHAVE MY HEAD AND LEAVE THE FREAKING COUNTRY LMAO…
7) SNF- BENGALS @ CHARGERS
MON NOV. 18: — Mack is going to have a Big Mac attack chomping down on Mr. Blonde Ambition…. this has Charger 3 piont victory written all over it
😎 MNF- TEXANS @ COWBOYS — I still don’t think the Texans are that good… but as for the Cowboys, they’ve got nothing going on but a very mushy Cooper Rush slush fund… time for another telethon Jerry! GOING WITH THE TEXANS… and please CJ get that eye of the tiger back…. lately you’ve been resembling a llama.
Hey everyone & welcome back to the start of the 3rd Quarter of the regular NFL SZN! Rolling into this bitch with a 58% winning percentage (ATS) and tied for first place among my co-hosts at ChabDog Sports!
@chabdogsports Results to week 9: Player games pl tot wns % ChabDog 137 77 56% Well Read 137 69 50% Abe 137 80 58% Dorothy D 137 80 58%…
— Well Read Producer ChabDog.com (@NewportBest_) November 5, 2024
You damn right I have to brag about this! These are hardcore football people and it’s an absolute honor to be able to keep up with them…especially Dorothy who lives, eats, and shits football all day along with every single person she hangs out with in her life..including her dad, “Packers Bob”. So being tied with Dorothy and her army is incredible since all my time is focused on my full-time job, my social media content game, and figuring out my gaming studio cave situation. So yeah, fuck all of you I’m winning…LMAO!!! Anyway…..before considering my Week 10 Scrumdidilyumptious ATS Picks, here is my SZN resume for your review.
Resume:
WEEK 1: 10/16 (62.5%) WEEK 2: 8/15 + 1 Push (53.3%) WEEK 3: 8/16 (50%) WEEK 4: 9/16 (56%) WEEK 5: 7/14 (50%) WEEK 6: 10/14 (71%) WEEK 7: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 8: 10/16 (63%) WEEK 9: 9/15 (60%) SEASON RECORD (ATS): 80/137 + 1 Push (58%)
OK, now that we’re all caught up and you’re still willing to read my scumbag-ass picks, let’s fucking go NFL Week 10 (thank you for acknowledging I’m one of theeeeee best at ChabDog Sports to do it this season)!
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
I looked at the spread & decided to take “the chalk” (Baltimore -6.5) only to eat shit again. Of course, the Ravens had to play some weird AF football but were able to win by a single point instead of 6.5 points. The Bengals kept it interesting but dropped the ball when it mattered the most…a tough loss for Bengals fans.
| | @gawdbrudder
Hold onto to that rope, or let go if you want, …. maybe the freedom from the shackles of common sense will set you free…
After Baltimore’s Thursday night betrayal I really don’t know what to think, other than sometimes my instincts on the marginal advantage one team has really doesn’t stink…. that being said, in the immortal words of Maggie from Caddyshack, “Tanks for nothin, ChabDog” —
— Going G-men over Carolina (giving four and half to the Panthers) — Yes, the Giants should win this game…. I don’t care where it is being played, and it’s time they started living large… at the expense of the Stink Panthers, as part of the NFL’s endless foreign exchange program.
— I like the Bears in this game…. but I don’t like them by 6.5… the Patriots should hang in there and make this interesting
— Here we go again,…. taking issue with the Dolts’ duller than dull offfense… who cares where they are playing, they still totally suck in terms of scoring aptitude… look for the Bills to regain their attitude iwth a big win
— Denver’s offense looks dead once again, and the Chiefs continue to swindle me whenver I think of them as their former high octane selves…..but c’mon KC is a simple 10 point victory at home too much to ask… like last week, I’m taking the bait for the Chiefs, because I can’t countenace drawing any kind of line with Diggs
— I’m feelin it for the Falcons, who have a good coach, a good QB (I can’t believe I’m saying that), some tasty Rijon at running back, some fairly good receivers, and a decent-to-better than avg defense… and that’s a lot more than the “Aints have going for them
— Kudos to the SF Niners, who may have found some of their lost swagger, and was last week’s loss by the Bucs a total dagger? Yes and no to those two question, but I think the defending NFC champs have too many weapons … give TB the 6.5 and take your chances.
— Steelers had two weeks to recharge those batteries, and the battery of Wison Pickets will be rocking and rolling at the 10 am pacific hour. The Commies will lose, and Vegas will rue the day they made them the favs.
— Yes, Minny covered last week, but their offense production has been nothing less than spotty. The Jags, meanwhile, continue to score in decent quantities, and at home, I think 4.5 is just a little too rich for my blood. Going Jags, even if it means I should have my head examined.
— Like Stella, the Chargers are really starting to find their grrove backM Though the Ti-tans showed me something last week, I think the bots can turn the screws on TN to the tune of at least an 8-point victory.
— , More home humliation for the Cowboys? Eagles should win but I’m going out on a bit of limb in saying that Micah Parson comes limping in and gives that beaten to hell defense a bit of a lift. Boys to beat that insulting Philly spread of +6.5.
— I’m officially on the AZ bandwagon, and personally buying the car seat for fun-sized Kyler, who no kidding, is filling some pretty big shoes these days.It should be a pretty entertaining game with the Jets, but the Cards should slip by in the late Arizona afternoon … by at least 2.
— Don’t care who is coming back for the Texans…. they’ll feel beseiged and bereft of alternatives or viable options when the Lions come to down. Detroit giving only 3.5…. are you kidding?
— Rams slam the door shut on the Dolphins, who came to Sofi looking for a break, and get swallowed up in an eqrthquake of a statement game for Stafford.
3 yards too far for Ja’Marr, Joe and the snake-bitten Bangles…. who were angling for a huge upset victory in Ballmer but end up just another team that stepped in No. 2 when it took the greedy option and went for 2.
Give the Ravens credit for coming out of that extended coma just in time for another ridiculous run-up of instant gratification TDs, and thank you very little for playing with the notion of covering that 6.5, only to give nearly all of it away in a final 90 seconds or so that played like “Here to Eternity”….heaven help me for changing my pick in favor of the Purple Rush ruffians covering that plush spread.
Giants are favored?! Send it! Caleb Williams stinks again, Buffalo and Kansas City are wagons, Saints are beyond terrible, 49ers are back, Steelers will slow down Cinderella Commies, Jaguars keep it close against Minnesota, Bolts destroy Titans, Eagles will screw me again by allowing dumb backdoor cover, Cardinals keep getting disrespected, Lions are a juggernaut, RAM IT.
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ChabDog’s Tenuous Attempt To Tackle the Week 10 Spreads:
Hold onto to that rope, or let go if you want, …. maybe the freedom from the shackles of common sense will set you free…
After Baltimore’s Thursday night betrayal I really don’t know what to think, other than sometimes my instincts on the marginal advantage one team has really doesn’t stink…. that being said, in the immortal words of Maggie from Caddyshack, “Tanks for nothin, ChabDog” —
— Going G-men over Carolina (giving four and half to the Panthers) — Yes, the Giants should win this game…. I don’t care where it is being played, and it’s time they started living large… at the expense of the Stink Panthers, as part of the NFL’s endless foreign exchange program.
— I like the Bears in this game…. but I don’t like them by 6.5… the Patriots should hang in there and make this interesting
— Here we go again,…. taking issue with the Dolts’ duller than dull offfense… who cares where they are playing, they still totally suck in terms of scoring aptitude… look for the Bills to regain their attitude iwth a big win
— Denver’s offense looks dead once again, and the Chiefs continue to swindle me whenver I think of them as their former high octane selves…..but c’mon KC is a simple 10 point victory at home too much to ask… like last week, I’m taking the bait for the Chiefs, because I can’t countenace drawing any kind of line with Diggs
— I’m feelin it for the Falcons, who have a good coach, a good QB (I can’t believe I’m saying that), some tasty Rijon at running back, some fairly good receivers, and a decent-to-better than avg defense… and that’s a lot more than the “Aints have going for them
— Kudos to the SF Niners, who may have found some of their lost swagger, and was last week’s loss by the Bucs a total dagger? Yes and no to those two question, but I think the defending NFC champs have too many weapons … give TB the 6.5 and take your chances.
— Steelers had two weeks to recharge those batteries, and the battery of Wison Pickets will be rocking and rolling at the 10 am pacific hour. The Commies will lose, and Vegas will rue the day they made them the favs.
— Yes, Minny covered last week, but their offense production has been nothing less than spotty. The Jags, meanwhile, continue to score in decent quantities, and at home, I think 4.5 is just a little too rich for my blood. Going Jags, even if it means I should have my head examined.
— Like Stella, the Chargers are really starting to find their grrove backM Though the Ti-tans showed me something last week, I think the bots can turn the screws on TN to the tune of at least an 8-point victory.
— , More home humliation for the Cowboys? Eagles should win but I’m going out on a bit of limb in saying that Micah Parson comes limping in and gives that beaten to hell defense a bit of a lift. Boys to beat that insulting Philly spread of +6.5.
— I’m officially on the AZ bandwagon, and personally buying the car seat for fun-sized Kyler, who no kidding, is filling some pretty big shoes these days.It should be a pretty entertaining game with the Jets, but the Cards should slip by in the late Arizona afternoon … by at least 2.
— Don’t care who is coming back for the Texans…. they’ll feel beseiged and bereft of alternatives or viable options when the Lions come to down. Detroit giving only 3.5…. are you kidding?
— Rams slam the door shut on the Dolphins, who came to Sofi looking for a break, and get swallowed up in an eqrthquake of a statement game for Stafford.
Thursday Night Featuring the Bangles Rears Its Frightful Head… just to spite me
3 yards too far for Ja’Marr, Joe and the snake-bitten Bangles…. who were angling for a huge upset victory in Ballmer but end up just another team that stepped in No. 2 when it took the greedy option and went for 2.
Give the Ravens credit for coming out of that extended coma just in time for another ridiculous run-up of instant gratification TDs, and thank you very little for playing with the notion of covering that 6.5, only to give nearly all of it away in a final 90 seconds or so that played like “Here to Eternity”….heaven help me for changing my pick in favor of the Purple Rush ruffians covering that plush spread.
Well Read’s Posts
Abe’s Posts
Week 9: Abe’s Scrumdidilyumptious NFL Picks (ATS)
HALFWAY THROUGH THE SEASON…LFGOOOOO NFL WEEK 9! As always, have to celly double-digit Ws last week going 10/16 (63%) which is always great when the goal is to have a SZN record greater than .500! Before considering my Week 9 Scrumdidilyumptious ATS Picks, here is my season resume for your review.
Resume:
WEEK 1: 10/16 (62.5%) WEEK 2: 8/15 + 1 Push (53.3%) WEEK 3: 8/16 (50%) WEEK 4: 9/16 (56%) WEEK 5: 7/14 (50%) WEEK 6: 10/14 (71%) WEEK 7: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 8: 10/16 (63%) SEASON RECORD (ATS): 71/122 + 1 Push (58%)
OK, now that we’re all caught up and you’re still willing to read my scummy bag picks, lets fucking go NFL Week 9 (thank you for acknowledging you still have a better shot with my picks below than LITERALLY flipping a quarter)!
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
I looked at the spread & decided to take “the chalk” (Texans -.5). CLEARLY this was a bad pick because WTF Texans! To be fair, I don’t think anyone realistically had the Jets beating the Texans by more than a touchdown on their BINGO card, but here we are.
| | @gawdbrudder
Week 8: Abe’s Scrumdidilyumptious NFL Picks (ATS)
Welcome back everyone to NFL WEEK 8! I would love to celebrate 11 picks right last week (Week 7) if it wasn’t me losing two by half a point. Like Vegas, we’ll have to settle with cashing in only 9/15 (60%) of my bets. Before you consider my Week 8 Scrumdidilyumptious ATS Picks here is my season resume for your review.
Resume:
WEEK 1: 10/16 (62.5%) WEEK 2: 8/15 + 1 Push (53.3%) WEEK 3: 8/16 (50%) WEEK 4: 9/16 (56%) WEEK 5: 7/14 (50%) WEEK 6: 10/14 (71%) WEEK 7: 9/15 (60%) SEASON RECORD (ATS): 61/106 + 1 Push (58%)
OK, now that we’re all caught up and you’re still willing to read my scumbag picks, lets fucking go NFL Week 8 (thank you for knowing that you still have a better shot with my picks below than LITERALLY flipping a quarter)!
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:
OK…I messed up royally and expected much more from the Vikings. Of course, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua come back from the IR for the Rams like rock stars and blow the Vikings out of the water. It is what it is. Unlike the past two Thursdays, I didn’t take the chalk…but consciously picked the Vikings to do better even though they are the chalk…no bueno….one pick already in the gutter.
VIKINGS -3.5 @NewportBest_ https://t.co/rNRlpYkKm0 pic.twitter.com/hHCqyqv13o
— Abe Miranda (@gawdbrudder) October 25, 2024
| | @gawdbrudder
Dorothy’s Posts
Aaron’s Posts
Aaron’s Week 8 NFL Picks
I was doing very well last week up until Monday Night Football. The Pittsburgh lock worked out well thanks to the Jets’ continued incompetence and Washington predictably destroyed Carolina despite the injury to Jayden Daniels that will torpedo my fantasy football season. My card was looking really good when Tampa Bay jumped out to an early lead on Baltimore, but then Lamar Jackson ruined all the fun and Baker Mayfield threw a pair of mind-numbing interceptions to help him out. In the ESPN+ game that no one watched, the Chargers failed to reach the end zone and lost to the Cardinals while Cameron Dicker scored more fantasy points than Kyler Murray to hand me a fantasy loss in a match that I had in the bag. Talk about the worst of both worlds.
So that is how I ended up 7-8 and below .500 for a third straight week. The overall record is 49-57-1. Let’s turn it around!
Minnesota at LA Rams +3.5
The Vikings finally suffered a loss last Sunday against Detroit in a game that I correctly predicted. The Rams just beat Las Vegas to keep their season from totally imploding, and an upset over the Vikings could be a big part of Los Angeles’ turnaround. The return of Cooper Kupp and the Rams’ 2-1 record at home this season will give them the edge. Ram it!
Baltimore -9.5 at Cleveland
The Ravens are a juggernaut and I cannot bet against them again until they slow down. Maybe it will be this week against Cleveland’s tough defense and some Jameis Winston magic. I will take my chances with that.
Tennessee at Detroit -10.5
Jared Goff just doesn’t throw incomplete passes anymore and the Titans have even less of a passing offense than before because they traded DeAndre Hopkins.
Arizona +3.5 at Miami
Tua Tagovailoa is coming back to rescue the Dolphins even though the Twitter doctors haven’t cleared him yet. I don’t know how that is legal. I will give Tua a week to shake the rust off and go with the frisky Cardinals.
Aaron’s Week 7 NFL Picks
It is Week 7 already and I am stuck in a midseason rut. I have been under .500 for two straight weeks, and now all I want to do is pick chalk. It is probably because favorites did so well in Week 6. Let’s see if the trend continues!
Denver at New Orleans -1.5
This one is already dead. It’s probably because Denver was favored at kickoff. I just have to come to terms with the Broncos being a decent team. The Saints have now lost five straight since their scintillating start and Spencer Rattler is probably a career backup.
New England +4.5 vs. Jacksonville
Back to London for the Jaguars, who were crushed by the Bears over there last Sunday. Should Jacksonville be favored by more than a field goal against anybody? Maybe the Patriots, because they haven’t covered since their narrow defeat vs. Seattle in Week 2. Still, I am going with New England and its new rookie quarterback.
Seattle at Atlanta -2.5
The Seahawks have been dreadful defensively while losing three in a row. The Falcons are on a roll with three straight wins over NFC South rivals. I am picking Atlanta and hoping that gambling really is this easy.
Tennessee at Buffalo -8.5
Will Levis threw for 95 yards in Tennessee’s loss to Indianapolis last week. That is not going to be enough to keep up with Buffalo and new addition Amari Cooper!
Aaron’s Week 6 NFL Picks
Last week stunk for me. I had just crawled back to .500 and instead of keeping the momentum going, I fell into another hole with a 5-9 week. That’s what I get for picking against my Giants, and that’s one mistake I won’t make again this week. There are other mistakes that I am very willing to repeat, though.
San Francisco -3.5 at Seattle
Fading San Francisco worked out well in Week 5, as it blew another fourth quarter lead to a division rival. This is becoming a disturbing trend for Kyle Shanahan’s team. However, I can’t go with Seattle again after they returned a fumble 102 yards against my Giants and STILL lost by nine.
Jacksonville at Chicago -1.5
The Jaguars have resurrected themselves somewhat with two straight covers (1-1 straight up) after being humiliated by Buffalo on Monday Night Football. I am still fading them, though. That’s because the Bears are HOT HOT HOT with two straight wins that covered the spread. Plus, Caleb Williams is coming off the best game of his young career.
Arizona +4.5 at Green Bay
It is tough to figure this Cardinals team out, but I have picked their games correctly for two weeks in a row. Green Bay should win this game because its only two losses are close ones against Minnesota and Philly, but I like Arizona’s offense too much. I will hope for a field goal game.
Aaron’s Week 5 NFL Picks
Thanks to last week’s brilliant 10-6 performance, I am 31-32-1, and that is a .500 record if you include the Atlanta win already in the books for this week. It took a while, but we finally climbed out of that Week 1 hole. Next stop, profitability?!
Tampa Bay at Atlanta -2.5
I booked it with Well Read before the game on Thursday, so it is going down as a win! Thanks go out to Captain Kirko and my fantasy darling Drake London!
NY Jets vs. Minnesota -2.5
Finally, the Vikings are favored, but this game isn’t in Minnesota; it is in London. The Jets looked legit when they stomped New England, but then they went right back into pretender mode with an ugly home loss to Denver. I will keep riding these Vikings!
Carolina +4.5 at Chicago
The Panthers came back down to Earth last week with a loss vs. Cincinnati, but the Carolina offense continued to look legit with Andy Dalton under center. That will help the Panthers defeat Chicago outright on Sunday!
Baltimore at Cincinnati +2.5
Speaking of offense, the Bengals have scored 72 points over their last two games. They might only need one or two stops on defense to beat Baltimore.
Aaron’s Week 4 NFL Picks
Wow! It’s already Week 4! We should have all of these NFL teams figured out by now, right? I agree that I should have them figured out, but I have not yet obtained the level of sharpness to do just that. It has bee nice to hover around .500 for the last two weeks after a disastrous Week 1, but that still means we’re down overall. Time to start the comeback!
Dallas at NY Giants +6.5
Picking the Giants finally paid off against Cleveland, so why should I stop now? The Cowboys can’t run the ball, and that will allow the Big Blue pass rush to beat down Dak Prescott. It is a little sad how excited I am to see Daniel Jones’ face on the “Just checking in to see if y’all still dem Boys” meme.
Saints at Falcons -2.5
Atlanta might have had the toughest starting schedule in the entire NFL, so even though 1-2 isn’t great, the Falcons still have plenty of chances to improve their record. That starts against the rival Saints, who were finally slowed down by the Eagles last week.
LA Rams +3.0 at Bears
Did the Rams’ comeback against the 49ers just not happen? Sure, they still have a lot of injuries, but Caleb Williams is still very prone to mistakes with two interceptions in each of his last two games. This should at least be a pick ’em. It feels like we are stepping into a trap, but I will take my chances with the advantage at head coach and quarterback.
Minnesota +2.5 at Green Bay
Just keep riding the Vikings. That is the directive here. Yes, Green Bay has been very impressive with a close loss to Philadelphia followed by two wins with Malik Willis under center. I’m just going to keep riding this Viking ship as long as it is an underdog.
Steelers -1.5 at Colts
The Colts beat the Bears last week, but I am off of them until Anthony Richardson shows improvement. He is completing less than half of his passes on the season and not rushing enough to make up for it. The Steelers’ defense will eat him for lunch.
Denver +7.5 at NY Jets
I’m not taking Denver’s big win at Tampa Bay super seriously just yet, but both of the Broncos’ losses came by a touchdown, so I’ll ride with them here.
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay +2.5
I am hoping the Bucs bounce back after their bizarre loss to Denver at home. They did blow out Philly in the Playoffs last season.
Cincinnati -5.5 at Carolina
It’s the Andy Dalton revenge game! But Joe Burrow and the Bengals need it much more and their offense was pretty great in the loss to Washington. They should score enough to cover this as long as the Red Rifle doesn’t play like an MVP again.
Jacksonville at Houston -6.5
Both of these teams were embarrassed last week. At least the Texans have played good football at some point this season.
Washington +3.5 at Arizona
I keep going back and forth on whether Arizona is good or not. Jayden Daniels is showing great poise for a rookie, though. He should keep this game close even if Washington’s horrible defense keeps bleeding points.
New England at San Francisco -10.5
The 49ers need to destroy someone to reestablish dominance. Last week was a disaster for them, and they can’t even use injuries as an excuse since Jauan Jennings was so good.
Cleveland at Las Vegas -2.0
This is so gross. The Browns are horrible, and the Raiders just laid an egg at home to Carolina. I don’t think Cleveland can score on anyone, though.
Kansas City at LA Chargers +7.5
I don’t know why this line is so high. I am sticking with Jim Harbaugh after the setback last week. He knows how to pound the ball and keep possession away from Patrick Mahomes, but it might not even matter with how mid he has been the last two weeks.
Buffalo +2.5 at Baltimore
The Buffalo offense is better without Stefon Diggs. It has scored over 30 points in all three games and we will keep riding it and circling the wagons.
Tennessee at Miami -1.5
Miami needs to win this one after being shocked by the Titans last year in a game that cost the Dolphins a division title. Plus, Miami has a chance to stay relevant in the hunt for the Playoffs with upcoming games at New England and Indianapolis. I’m hoping Mike McDaniel can figure out how to win one without Tua Tagovailoa.
Seattle at Detroit -3.5
The Seahawks are 3-0, but they have played feeble competition. I’ll lay the points with the Lions.