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Let the Final Four Festivities commence! Time to eat, or be eaten… and beaten. Save some time for ChabDog Sports Talk’s “Save the Blind Tigers” Show. Is Auburn headed for some unfortunate chomp and circumstance against the Gators? Will high and mighty Duke and its Flagg-bearer famously high flying get taken out by Samson’s sadistic wrecking crew and their terrible defensive tool box, incluidng a big blow torch and more than a few defensive pliers.
When we’re done with basketball, it’s time to lay out the welcome mat for MLB, where the Dodgers rule with an iron hand, its all hands on deck for the Yankees and their magic bat, and the Braves need a lot more than a helping hand.
And then there’s our killer Kilmer clips… love steet, Dodge City Doc…and real geniuses in college… plus Billy and the Over-the-hill-gang and John Malkovich, burying a hatchet in Burn After Reading.

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Opening Day was a sad one for Mets fans. Not only did they lose 3-1 in Houston to suffer their first back-to-back Opening Day defeats since 1999 and 2000, but they were let down by two key players that they signed as free agents during the offseason. Both Clay Holmes and Juan Soto played for the Yankees last year, and both failed to make a strong first impression with their new team. I don’t even know if Holmes is a starting pitcher, let alone a starting pitcher worthy of Opening Day. Before Thursday, he hadn’t started a game since 2018, so I don’t know what made the Mets think he can be a mainstay in their rotation. Holmes looked great in spring training, but in the opener he fell one out short of five innings pitched while allowing five hits and four walks. That is a lot of action on the basepaths, but to Holmes’ credit, he only let in two earned runs. The third Houston run came home on a throwing error by Luisangel Acuna that negated what could have been an inning-ending double play. This Mets pitching staff is very thin with Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas on the injured list. If guys like Holmes can’t make it through five innings, the bullpen is going to be overworked.

At least Juan Soto reached base three times on a single and two walks, but he also struck out to end the game after Houston closer Josh Hader fell behind 3-0 in the count and grooved a pitch for his first strike that it looked like Soto could have hit to the moon. It was a disappointing ending to the game, especially since Soto came so close to a heroic moment. It was nice to see the Mets rally in the 8th and the 9th after looking totally feeble against Framber Valdez, though. Acuna did a great job climbing out of an 0-2 hole and working a walk and Francisco Lindor hit a long sac fly to break up the shutout, but the Mets could not find the one big hit to bring them back. Hopefully the offense will be more consistent against Hunter Brown tonight. If it is not, the Mets will need a great effort from Tylor Megill to avoid another loss.

Elsewhere in the National League East, Mackenzie Gore totally dominated the Phillies for six innings with 13 strikeouts and just one hit allowed. Gore left the game with a 1-0 lead, but the Phillies hopped on top with solo shots by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber off of Lucas Sims and Jose Ferrer of the Washington pen. The Nats rallied to tie the game at 3-3 in the 8th against Jordan Romano, but the Phillies got a two-run double from Alec Bohm and another from J.T. Realmuto to put the game away in the 10th.

The Braves scored four runs in the first four innings at San Diego, but their offense went quiet the rest of the way while the Padres rallied back with four runs in the 7th against Hector Neris and Aaron Bummer. Gavin Sheets hit a solo shot to start the frame and tie the score, Luis Arraez gave the Padres the lead with a sac fly, and Manny Machado added on with an RBI double before Jackson Merrill capped the scoring with a sac fly of his down for his fourth RBI of the day.

As Opening Day turned into night, college hoops took, and we got to see a lot of offense on display in the Sweet 16. Florida only led Maryland by two at the half, but the Gators chomped away for 47 second-half points and moved on with an 87-71 victory. Star guard Walter Clayton Jr. only scored 13 points, but Florida had six players score in double figures. This is a team that can erupt no matter who the defense tries to clamp down on. It was a different story in Newark, where Mark Sears and Aden Holloway led a three-point barrage for Alabama in its 113-88 win over BYU. The Cougars could not keep pace as Alabama poured in 25 shots from beyond the arc on a wild 51 attempts to bury the Mormons. Sears was nigh unstoppable with 34 points and eight assists.

The night games were more competitive, and Caleb Love would not let Duke pull away from Arizona. He scored 35 points for the Wildcats, but Duke got a combined 50 from Cooper Flagg and Kon Knuppel to keep its opponents from completing the upset bid. Jon Scheyer’s team won 100-93 and is set to face the Crimson Tide on Saturday night in what could be a scoring bonanza for the ages.

Despite all the scoring from Alabama and Duke, the most electric game of the evening took place in San Francisco with Darrion Williams and Texas Tech overcoming a 13-point deficit with less than five minutes to play and stunning Arkansas 85-83 in overtime. Williams was only 8-for-26 from the field in this one, but he came up big when it mattered with a three-point shot to tie the score at 72-72 with nine seconds remaining in the second half. In overtime, Williams hit a layup after a spin move in the post to give Texas Tech the winning margin. D.J. Wagner missed shots at the end of regulation and overtime for Arkansas. The Hogs might have been playing with house money as a 10-seed, but this loss has to be heartbreaking nevertheless with how close they were to the Elite Eight. It’s hard to call Arkansas “Cinderella” when you have a great coach in John Calipari and an tremendous prospect with Wagner, but Calipari being on the edge of the Final Four in his first year with his new program would have been a heck of a story.

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As we wander into Day 2 of Sweet 16, who knew it would be Harrison Montague sitting all alone at the top, followed by Bixxkrieg Blixx (sitting pretty with Duke) and relentless, not-so-young and restless Well-read (supported by Samson’s Cougs). .
Next are the fabulous Gator Boys HOV and ChabDog, in that order, followed by fallen-from-grace A-ron, who is searching for his Bruce Pearl of Wisdom pick in a very big hay bale, and previously too cool Matty Ice (watch oot above because her choices could turn out to be pretty nice).
After that, everyone still has their winners alive and kicking, other than Disney’s Dead Man Walking Miranda.
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Update about the state of the ChabDog Pool (on the cusp of the 16 Candles round):

–Aaron’s glory has proven to be a wee bit fleeting, as he must now share top honors with 2 others, including Well-read and HOV (High Occuplancy?). High falutent Harrison (hot air) Montague is in third, 10 points back.
— Meanwhilte ChabDog lurks at just 30 points back, tied with the master of the six pack, Blixx
— Abe is in 7th, mortally wounded as Iowa State bit the proverbial big one.
— Behind him, hope abounds as everyone else’s winner remains alive.
Everyone in this pool has done a great job (even you Abe!) and deserve a Pat Kinght (or is it a Pat Summit?) on the back for a job well-done.

 

 

 

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Despite all the fears of March mayhem, looks like when the dust cleared from round 1, the [ChabDog.com](http://chabdog.com/…) group pickers are mostly in tact and by no means done… leading us to that do or die, make or break round of 32.. and time for the “Bunker down and defend your bracket amid all the racket” CDST show. We’ll break down where things stand as things heat up in the Tournament … with most of the big boys (and their big coaches) still hanging around.
After possibly a few more Karaoke interjections, ChabDog explains why a cozy wing chair is such important territory to protect when you’re trying to make projections, plus A-ron’s reflections on how he actually went 27-5. Well-read’s recovered from his bout with yellow fever, and is now an eager beaver basketball prognosticator, and Abe Go Fish Pagoda splains why he cast his line with the Cyclones.
In the background we’ve got a priceless roster of famous clips and quips from All in the Family, and a tribute to grillmaster Foreman (including Cosell’s famous call of “Down Goes Frazier”, plus what happens when Mr. Rodger’s neighborhood once again becomes PIttsburgh and the recipe for an Ice cold finger roll.
Don’t miss this week’s shoooooo on a divine second day of Spring!

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Watch the Steelers fiddle and diddle about the new field general…. bring back Slash… or Bubby Brister?
DJ’s no calf… he’s a bull…
It was black and white day in the studio, but that can’t stop the gleam of Abe’s green
Join our ChabDog Challenge Group and rack your bracket… “don’t cost nothing”
One of us has lots of zest for the Big West
Giants who were Jets, and vice-versa
Affirmed over Alydar in the 1978 Belmont… confirmed as an instant classic
(listen to Chic Anderson tell us how it happened.
Then in 1998, Victory Gallop literally noses out Real Quiet in a very photogenic photo finish
All about the legendary Lassie Viren– proof positive you can fall down and still prevail
Watch Chester Marcol make his mark against Da Bears defense.
ChabDog gives due props to Chester A. Arthur.
A stirring excerpt from Without Limits, as Steve Prefontaine broke from his routine in the Olympic 5000 final, showed hesitation and went from first to last in the last 100 yards

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March Madness is still a few weeks away, but crazy competition still abounds, hence the need for CDST’s “Fantastic, intergalactic, inter-gender, mind bender championship wraslin show”. Let’s see someone try and regulate this. Andy Kaufman shows us how it’s done, until Jerry Lawler takes the law into his own hands. Booger uses a very picky approach to turning the tables on a very forceful female arm wrestler.  Then there’s the time John Candy earned his stripes in the mud wrestling ring. From the excitement you won’t get a reprieve with The Lady Eve, and things turn eveb more serious when we hit The Children’s Hour.
And before we’re done, there will be time to review twists and turns of another week that’s run… with the G-man joining Pete under the Raider dome, and say it ain’t so, Boston’s much loved (and reviled) Rat getting snatched by the Florida Swamp cats. Plus, a preview of the Sat. Night Special in Beantown, with Phat Luka invading the North End.
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The Mets won another offseason title in 2024 when they signed Juan Soto to the largest contract in the history of professional sports. That is an awesome move and the Mets may become World Series contenders for years to come, but it won’t be only because of Soto. We’ve seen megastars struggle to qualify for the Postseason in baseball (most notably with Abe Miranda’s Anaheim Angels) and we’ve seen hyped Mets signings like Justin Verlander fail to convert offseason banners into real ones. What makes Soto different? Well, he might be a more talented slugger than the Mets have ever signed before with an on-base percentage above .400 in each one of his seven big league seasons. Most importantly, though, is the fact that Soto is joining a team that won a couple of Postseason series in 2024. He doesn’t have to be a savior, but I also can’t help but think that the Mets needed to do more over the winter to secure a bid in October.

If the Mets fall short this season, it will probably be because of the starting rotation. Two years ago, Kodai Senga and his Ghost Fork emerged as a star, but in 2024 he got hurt and missed 99 percent of the season. Fortunately, Sean Manaea put together a career year at age 32 and provided stability to the rotation alongside Luis Severino and Jose Quintana. Over the winter, the Mets brought back Manaea on a three-year deal, but they let Severino and Quintana walk while adding Frankie Montas, Griffin Canning, and Clay Holmes to replace them. Holmes was the Yankees’ closer last year, but he was demoted in October and hasn’t made a major league start since 2018.

Even with everyone healthy, I thought the 2025 rotation looked shaky with Senga seemingly made of glass and the Mets counting on Manaea to repeat his best year ever. Fast forward to the present, and Manaea is set to start the regular season on the injured list due to an oblique injury. Montas is also on the shelf with a strained lat, and I don’t feel good about the rotation at all. Senga needs to be the ace he was in 2023, David Peterson needs to build on his 2024 in which he posted a career-best 2.90 ERA despite a strikeout rate that shrunk to 7.51 per nine innings, and Clay Holmes needs to prove that he can be a mid-rotation starter after years of exclusively pitching out of the bullpen. That is a lot of question marks for the top three guys in the Mets’ rotation. Paul Blackburn should provide consistency at the back end, and Canning is fine for a fifth guy, but I think fans will miss having a horse like Jacob deGrom to turn to every fifth day.

The batting order figures to be the strength of the team with Francisco Lindor finally hitting like a superstar last year and Juan Soto hitting behind him. It took the Mets long enough, but they finally got a deal done with Pete Alonso, and he has shown he can be a feared power hitter even in a down season. If the Polar Bear can get back to hitting 40 home runs with a .260 average, he will look like a steal. I also think Brandon Nimmo will get on base more after a strange 2024 campaign in which he posted a BABIP below .300 for just the second time in his career. If some hits fall in for him, his walk rate is still good enough to get him to a .360 OBP, which will be useful wherever the Mets want to put him in the lineup. Mark Vientos should round out the top five of the order, but he could struggle if he doesn’t get his strikeouts under control. It will only be a matter of time before opposing pitchers spam outside breaking stuff against him. He needs to lay off the junk more and demand strikes.

The bottom of the order could get boosted from a Jeff McNeil resurgence or Francisco Alvarez refining his approach. The former top prospect has been exciting but wildly inconsistent over the past two seasons, while McNeil needs to rediscover his 2022 form after posting a career-high strikeout rate and career-low BABIP in 2024.

It will be tough for the Mets to top the magical Postseason run of 2024, especially with baseball’s final boss, the Los Angeles Dodgers, still standing in their way. For now, we’ll focus on getting ready for the regular season and winning a division title for the first time in a decade.

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2SGBR85 Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackle Milton Williams, left, stops a pass by Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) during the NFL Super Bowl 59 football game on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025 in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)

Feeling a bit let down, as cold February lingers and throws downers in your face like the NBA All-star game and the 4 Nations’ competition to nowhere. We’ll help you climb out of this groundhog day hole with the “CDST Superstar Superbowl Afterparty Show”. You’ll be seeing hhhhhelicopters, artifically enhanced lucky Lukas, delicious visions and vapors of a once-in-a-lifetime KC barbe-que, sacked, roasted and ready for brotherly love consumption, a 7 ft, 360 pound center from St. John’s Fisher who’s on a see food diet that commands attention, and, in honor of recently concluded National Hippo Day, it’s baby Charlie, who thinks he just one of the Rhinos. Plus, a look at two potential giant killer’s for this year’s touney… 10 and oh my in the Ivies, YALE… and the hot hot hot Tigers of Mizzou, who seek to undo the ghosts of Tyus Edney. Really, now, what could indeed by Feiner?!

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AND PARDON THE INSURRECTION…

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Brandon’s Posts

We’ll help you climb out of this groundhog day hole with the “CDST Superstar Superbowl Afterparty Show”…

2SGBR85 Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackle Milton Williams, left, stops a pass by Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) during the NFL Super Bowl 59 football game on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025 in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)

Feeling a bit let down, as cold February lingers and throws downers in your face like the NBA All-star game and the 4 Nations’ competition to nowhere. We’ll help you climb out of this groundhog day hole with the “CDST Superstar Superbowl Afterparty Show”. You’ll be seeing hhhhhelicopters, artifically enhanced lucky Lukas, delicious visions and vapors of a once-in-a-lifetime KC barbe-que, sacked, roasted and ready for brotherly love consumption, a 7 ft, 360 pound center from St. John’s Fisher who’s on a see food diet that commands attention, and, in honor of recently concluded National Hippo Day, it’s baby Charlie, who thinks he just one of the Rhinos. Plus, a look at two potential giant killer’s for this year’s touney… 10 and oh my in the Ivies, YALE… and the hot hot hot Tigers of Mizzou, who seek to undo the ghosts of Tyus Edney. Really, now, what could indeed by Feiner?!

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Well Read’s Posts

Abe’s Posts

Week 11: Abe’s Scrumdidilyumptious NFL Picks (ATS)

Hey everyone & welcome back to my kick-ass blog where I make 50% + accurate picks Against The Spread (ATS)! Rolling into Week 11 with a 58% SZN winning percentage (ATS) and tied for first place among my co-hosts at ChabDog Sports (see below)!

You damn right I have to brag about this every week!  These are hardcore football people and it’s an absolute honor to be able to keep up with them…especially Dorothy Dawn who lives, eats, and shits football all day along with every single person she hangs out with in her life..including her dad, “Packers Bob”,  who’s been on our show multiple times and attended the Ice Bowl at Lambeau Field in 1967.  So being tied with Dorothy and her army is incredible since all my time is focused on my full-time job, my social media content game, and clearing out my bedroom to make room for a gaming studio for future Twitch streams. So yeah, fuck all of you I’m winning and taking names…LMAO!!!  Anyways…..before considering my Week 11 Scrumdidilyumptious ATS Picks, here is my SZN resume for your review.

Resume:

WEEK 1: 10/16 (62.5%) WEEK 2: 8/15 + 1 Push (53.3%)  WEEK 3: 8/16 (50%) WEEK 4:  9/16 (56%) WEEK 5: 7/14 (50%)  WEEK 6: 10/14 (71%) WEEK 7: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 8: 10/16 (63%) WEEK 9: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 10: 7/14 (50%)  SEASON RECORD (ATS): 87/151 + 1 Push (58%)

OK, now that we’re all caught up and you’re still willing to read my scumbag-ass picks, let’s fucking go NFL Week 11 (thank you for acknowledging I’m one of theeeeee best at ChabDog Sports to do it this SZN)!

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: 

I texted our producer and told him I was taking the chalk (favored team) and going with the Eagles (-3.5).  My Thursday Night Football chalk picks have been extremely shitty the last couple of weeks so this made me a little hesitant to pick the Eagles. Still, you got to look at every game as a new situation and felt that the Eagles had enough offensive weapons to beat the Commanders and I wasn’t wrong since the Eagles beat them by 8 points. So I’m already 1/1 for Week 11 along with our producer who also picked them.

|  | @gawdbrudder

 

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Week 10: Abe’s Scrumdidilyumptious NFL Picks (ATS)

Hey everyone & welcome back to the start of the 3rd Quarter of the regular NFL SZN! Rolling into this bitch with a 58% winning percentage (ATS) and tied for first place among my co-hosts at ChabDog Sports!

You damn right I have to brag about this!  These are hardcore football people and it’s an absolute honor to be able to keep up with them…especially Dorothy who lives, eats, and shits football all day along with every single person she hangs out with in her life..including her dad, “Packers Bob”.  So being tied with Dorothy and her army is incredible since all my time is focused on my full-time job, my social media content game, and figuring out my gaming studio cave situation. So yeah, fuck all of you I’m winning…LMAO!!!  Anyway…..before considering my Week 10 Scrumdidilyumptious ATS Picks, here is my SZN resume for your review.

Resume:

WEEK 1: 10/16 (62.5%) WEEK 2: 8/15 + 1 Push (53.3%)  WEEK 3: 8/16 (50%) WEEK 4:  9/16 (56%) WEEK 5: 7/14 (50%)  WEEK 6: 10/14 (71%) WEEK 7: 9/15 (60%) WEEK 8: 10/16 (63%) WEEK 9: 9/15 (60%)   SEASON RECORD (ATS): 80/137 + 1 Push (58%)

OK, now that we’re all caught up and you’re still willing to read my scumbag-ass picks, let’s fucking go NFL Week 10 (thank you for acknowledging I’m one of theeeeee best at ChabDog Sports to do it this season)!

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: 

I looked at the spread & decided to take “the chalk” (Baltimore -6.5) only to eat shit again.  Of course, the Ravens had to play some weird AF football but were able to win by a single point instead of 6.5 points. The Bengals kept it interesting but dropped the ball when it mattered the most…a tough loss for Bengals fans.

|  | @gawdbrudder

 

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Dorothy’s Posts

Aaron’s Posts

Aaron’s Week 7 NFL Picks

It is Week 7 already and I am stuck in a midseason rut. I have been under .500 for two straight weeks, and now all I want to do is pick chalk. It is probably because favorites did so well in Week 6. Let’s see if the trend continues!

Denver at New Orleans -1.5

This one is already dead. It’s probably because Denver was favored at kickoff. I just have to come to terms with the Broncos being a decent team. The Saints have now lost five straight since their scintillating start and Spencer Rattler is probably a career backup.

New England +4.5 vs. Jacksonville

Back to London for the Jaguars, who were crushed by the Bears over there last Sunday. Should Jacksonville be favored by more than a field goal against anybody? Maybe the Patriots, because they haven’t covered since their narrow defeat vs. Seattle in Week 2. Still, I am going with New England and its new rookie quarterback.

Seattle at Atlanta -2.5

The Seahawks have been dreadful defensively while losing three in a row. The Falcons are on a roll with three straight wins over NFC South rivals. I am picking Atlanta and hoping that gambling really is this easy.

Tennessee at Buffalo -8.5

Will Levis threw for 95 yards in Tennessee’s loss to Indianapolis last week. That is not going to be enough to keep up with Buffalo and new addition Amari Cooper!

read more…

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Aaron’s Week 6 NFL Picks

Last week stunk for me. I had just crawled back to .500 and instead of keeping the momentum going, I fell into another hole with a 5-9 week. That’s what I get for picking against my Giants, and that’s one mistake I won’t make again this week. There are other mistakes that I am very willing to repeat, though.

San Francisco -3.5 at Seattle

Fading San Francisco worked out well in Week 5, as it blew another fourth quarter lead to a division rival. This is becoming a disturbing trend for Kyle Shanahan’s team. However, I can’t go with Seattle again after they returned a fumble 102 yards against my Giants and STILL lost by nine.

Jacksonville at Chicago -1.5

The Jaguars have resurrected themselves somewhat with two straight covers (1-1 straight up) after being humiliated by Buffalo on Monday Night Football. I am still fading them, though. That’s because the Bears are HOT HOT HOT with two straight wins that covered the spread. Plus, Caleb Williams is coming off the best game of his young career.

Arizona +4.5 at Green Bay

It is tough to figure this Cardinals team out, but I have picked their games correctly for two weeks in a row. Green Bay should win this game because its only two losses are close ones against Minnesota and Philly, but I like Arizona’s offense too much. I will hope for a field goal game.

read more…

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Aaron’s Week 5 NFL Picks

Thanks to last week’s brilliant 10-6 performance, I am 31-32-1, and that is a .500 record if you include the Atlanta win already in the books for this week. It took a while, but we finally climbed out of that Week 1 hole. Next stop, profitability?!

Tampa Bay at Atlanta -2.5

I booked it with Well Read before the game on Thursday, so it is going down as a win! Thanks go out to Captain Kirko and my fantasy darling Drake London!

NY Jets vs. Minnesota -2.5

Finally, the Vikings are favored, but this game isn’t in Minnesota; it is in London. The Jets looked legit when they stomped New England, but then they went right back into pretender mode with an ugly home loss to Denver. I will keep riding these Vikings!

Carolina +4.5 at Chicago

The Panthers came back down to Earth last week with a loss vs. Cincinnati, but the Carolina offense continued to look legit with Andy Dalton under center. That will help the Panthers defeat Chicago outright on Sunday!

Baltimore at Cincinnati +2.5

Speaking of offense, the Bengals have scored 72 points over their last two games. They might only need one or two stops on defense to beat Baltimore.

read more…

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Aaron’s Week 4 NFL Picks

Wow! It’s already Week 4! We should have all of these NFL teams figured out by now, right? I agree that I should have them figured out, but I have not yet obtained the level of sharpness to do just that. It has bee nice to hover around .500 for the last two weeks after a disastrous Week 1, but that still means we’re down overall. Time to start the comeback!

Dallas at NY Giants +6.5

Picking the Giants finally paid off against Cleveland, so why should I stop now? The Cowboys can’t run the ball, and that will allow the Big Blue pass rush to beat down Dak Prescott. It is a little sad how excited I am to see Daniel Jones’ face on the “Just checking in to see if y’all still dem Boys” meme.

Saints at Falcons -2.5

Atlanta might have had the toughest starting schedule in the entire NFL, so even though 1-2 isn’t great, the Falcons still have plenty of chances to improve their record. That starts against the rival Saints, who were finally slowed down by the Eagles last week.

LA Rams +3.0 at Bears

Did the Rams’ comeback against the 49ers just not happen? Sure, they still have a lot of injuries, but Caleb Williams is still very prone to mistakes with two interceptions in each of his last two games. This should at least be a pick ’em. It feels like we are stepping into a trap, but I will take my chances with the advantage at head coach and quarterback.

Minnesota +2.5 at Green Bay

Just keep riding the Vikings. That is the directive here. Yes, Green Bay has been very impressive with a close loss to Philadelphia followed by two wins with Malik Willis under center. I’m just going to keep riding this Viking ship as long as it is an underdog.

Steelers -1.5 at Colts

The Colts beat the Bears last week, but I am off of them until Anthony Richardson shows improvement. He is completing less than half of his passes on the season and not rushing enough to make up for it. The Steelers’ defense will eat him for lunch.

Denver +7.5 at NY Jets

I’m not taking Denver’s big win at Tampa Bay super seriously just yet, but both of the Broncos’ losses came by a touchdown, so I’ll ride with them here.

Philadelphia at Tampa Bay +2.5

I am hoping the Bucs bounce back after their bizarre loss to Denver at home. They did blow out Philly in the Playoffs last season.

Cincinnati -5.5 at Carolina

It’s the Andy Dalton revenge game! But Joe Burrow and the Bengals need it much more and their offense was pretty great in the loss to Washington. They should score enough to cover this as long as the Red Rifle doesn’t play like an MVP again.

Jacksonville at Houston -6.5

Both of these teams were embarrassed last week. At least the Texans have played good football at some point this season.

Washington +3.5 at Arizona

I keep going back and forth on whether Arizona is good or not. Jayden Daniels is showing great poise for a rookie, though. He should keep this game close even if Washington’s horrible defense keeps bleeding points.

New England at San Francisco -10.5

The 49ers need to destroy someone to reestablish dominance. Last week was a disaster for them, and they can’t even use injuries as an excuse since Jauan Jennings was so good.

Cleveland at Las Vegas -2.0

This is so gross. The Browns are horrible, and the Raiders just laid an egg at home to Carolina. I don’t think Cleveland can score on anyone, though.

Kansas City at LA Chargers +7.5

I don’t know why this line is so high. I am sticking with Jim Harbaugh after the setback last week. He knows how to pound the ball and keep possession away from Patrick Mahomes, but it might not even matter with how mid he has been the last two weeks.

Buffalo +2.5 at Baltimore

The Buffalo offense is better without Stefon Diggs. It has scored over 30 points in all three games and we will keep riding it and circling the wagons.

Tennessee at Miami -1.5

Miami needs to win this one after being shocked by the Titans last year in a game that cost the Dolphins a division title. Plus, Miami has a chance to stay relevant in the hunt for the Playoffs with upcoming games at New England and Indianapolis. I’m hoping Mike McDaniel can figure out how to win one without Tua Tagovailoa.

Seattle at Detroit -3.5

The Seahawks are 3-0, but they have played feeble competition. I’ll lay the points with the Lions.

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Aaron’s Week 3 NFL Picks

It’s always difficult to pick games in Week 1, but I had a nice bounce-back performance in Week 2. Now it is time for the rubber match. Do I know ball or not? I am banking on some surprising teams continuing to surprise and I will be betting on those teams until the oddsmakers catch up or until they turn into pumpkins. Whichever happens first.

New England +6.5 at NY Jets

New England is the first of the surprise teams I am talking about. They have covered the spread twice in a row and have beaten Cincinnati outright. The Jets need this game badly, but they will have to grind it out because Aaron Rodgers has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game for them.

NY Giants +6.5 at Cleveland

Congrats to Cleveland for bouncing back from that Week 1 disaster and beating Jacksonville. The Browns should still have to score 20 points in a game before they are favored to beat anyone by a touchdown. Remember, my Giants were not abysmal last week. Malik Nabers is the real deal, and now we have a kicker who can help us cover this spread! I bet we can even win if we keep the opponent out of the end zone again (sigh).

Chicago at Indianapolis -1.5

The Colts laid an egg last week, but they should still be laying at least a field goal against the Bears. Chicago’s defense won the game against Tennessee and kept the game in Houston close, but I think it is asking a lot for this team to win outright on the road.

Houston at Minnesota +4.5

The oddsmakers still don’t believe in Minnesota! I do, especially after Houston failed to put away Chicago last week until the final minute.

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